24 Feb

I do like Petra Martic. Not only is she easy on the eye but she plays an attractive style of tennis. So I was sad to see she lost in qualies in Florianopolis today. It was her first match since Melbourne, and I believe she's had knee surgery since then too. Lets hope things are fine for Indian Wells in 10 days time. (It's still possible she'll get a lucky loser spot in Brasil).

I'm not entirely sure how I won so much on JJ today, looks like overstaking to me, as I shouldn't've managed to get that much at the odds on offer. It must've been a trade or two in running as well, but since it was pretty much a 1.01 train I'm not quite sure how that works either. Oh well.

Was gobsmacked to see Jana Cepelova 1.39 vs a local waitress in Florianopolis and piled in. It was quite a close first set, including the match being halted by a hole in the court and it had to be moved to another one. How embarrassing for the organisers.

( The derogatory phrase local waitress hails from the Betfair tennis forum, where it's applied to any low-ranked local girl who is only in the draw via a wildcard. By that definition there's lots of local Brit waitresses playing in Wimbledon every year!)
Not much going on in Acapulco or KL later so going for a good night's sleep in anticipation of a couple of days of round-the-clock WTA.

2 comments:

Tennis Trade Strategies said...

I'm pretty much fascinated by the way you trade. Do you offer classes or thought about publishing any of the strategies or is it straight in-play game reading and experience.

Well the most important part what i need to learn i guess is when do i exit, especially when it is going against me and shall i leave the market all alone when hitting the red zone and hedge for a loss? as for entries this probably has to be a decent price from the start or waiting in-play for the change of momentum or a comeback of a fav?

it's a lot to ask, but would be nice to fill me / the reader in a little bit.

Rich said...

there's no one-fits-all methodology. a couple of things:

1) look at the form then decide what you think the odds should be before looking at the market and take into account the difference. do this for most matches every day.

2) remember favs win 70%+ of matches. so you have to be really really sure before you oppose a fav. imagine a roulette wheel with 26 reds and 10 blacks. you'd have to think carefully before betting on black!

3) staking plan. decide on one and stick to it.

good luck